Bihar exit poll 2025 has brought a wave of excitement as most survey agencies, including Today’s Chanakya, predict a clear and strong win for the NDA alliance. The seat projection shows the ruling alliance getting a comfortable lead, with Nitish Kumar likely to return as Chief Minister for another five years.
According to the latest figures, Today’s Chanakya predicts a landslide victory for NDA with around 160 ± 12 seats, while the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to get about 77 ± 12 seats. Other parties may get nearly 6 ± 3 seats. This data shows that the NDA is in a strong position to form the next government in Bihar.
Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll 2025: Seat Projection
- BJP+ – 160 ± 12 Seats
- RJD+ – 77 ± 12 Seats
- Others – 6 ± 3 Seats
Vote Share Prediction
The vote percentage projection shows NDA leading the charts once again. According to the report:
- BJP+ – 44% ± 3%
- RJD+ – 38% ± 3%
- Others – 18% ± 3%
Caste-Wise Analysis
The detailed caste-based voting pattern shows how different communities voted in this election. Today’s Chanakya data gives an idea of how caste equations have played a big role again in Bihar politics.
- Yadav Votes: BJP+ 23% ± 3%, RJD+ 67% ± 3%
- Muslim Votes: BJP+ 12% ± 3%, RJD+ 69% ± 3%
- SC Votes: BJP+ 58% ± 3%, RJD+ 26% ± 3%
- OBC & EBC Votes: BJP+ 55% ± 3%, RJD+ 24% ± 3%
Axis My India Exit Poll 2025: Overview
Another major survey by Axis My India also shows NDA leading in Bihar. According to their prediction, NDA is likely to form the government once again, though RJD may emerge as the single-largest party in terms of seats.
Opposition Reactions
Despite all exit polls showing a win for NDA, Jharkhand Minister Irfan Ansari from the Congress party remains confident about MGB’s success. He said that exit polls are being shown to demotivate the opposition, but the real results will tell a different story. He recalled how similar predictions were made in Jharkhand, yet the ruling party there lost.
What to Expect Next
The final counting of votes will decide the real picture. If the exit polls prove correct, Nitish Kumar may secure another full term, marking a major comeback for the NDA in Bihar’s political scene. However, political experts suggest waiting for the official results before drawing any final conclusions.
Key Takeaway
The Bihar exit poll 2025 points to a massive win for the NDA alliance, with strong support from OBC, EBC, and SC voters. RJD still holds dominance among Yadav and Muslim voters, but that may not be enough to challenge the NDA’s lead. All eyes are now on the final counting day for the complete result.